LGG_BlueFalcon at Planetary Qualifier Matawan NJ

melee.gg

Planetary Premier August 30, 2025 Record 2-3-0 Field 92

Rating after 1,693

-27

Rating before 1,720 RD 108

Rating after 1,693 RD 101

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,513

Field strength Mean 1,593 · Median 1,564 · 92 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1720 → Swiss 1693 -27.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

ebthomps 2

Patrick Flynn 1

Ben4thelore 2

MCG_Glu 0

EmIvyM 1

AlexanderTheGreatest 2

Awesome_MTGDG 2

StardustExtremist 1

Semifinals

Ben4thelore 0

AlexanderTheGreatest 2

ebthomps 2

Awesome_MTGDG 1

Finals

ebthomps 2

AlexanderTheGreatest 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -27.5 1.0× +0.0 -27.5 1693

Total 2-3-0 -27.5 1693

Biggest upset Beat MCG_Tyler_Mersing 1971 at 30% odds / surprise +0.7

Costliest loss Lost to IceBaneQ 1524 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 /

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 MCG_Tyler_Mersing Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R2 Rodney Hickman Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 Thadsea Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R4 EntCDXX Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 IceBaneQ Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss