LGG_BlueFalcon at Planetary Qualifier Mahwah NJ

melee.gg

Planetary Premier September 20, 2025 Record 3-3-0 Field 102

Rating after 1,663

-30

Rating before 1,693 RD 101

Rating after 1,663 RD 96

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,494

Field strength Mean 1,569 · Median 1,520 · 100 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1693 → Swiss 1663 -29.9

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

TH_Lowercase 1

Ryan DiCrisi 2

Michael Jurgelon 0

Tony Fangel 2

Nick Alifano 0

RTchompGG 2

Ian Bosley 1

Nicky Morgan 2

Semifinals

Ryan DiCrisi 2

Tony Fangel 1

RTchompGG 1

Nicky Morgan 2

Finals

Ryan DiCrisi 1

Nicky Morgan 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -29.9 1.0× +0.0 -29.9 1663

Total 3-3-0 -29.9 1663

Biggest upset Beat RogueState_StephenCaro 1527 at 64% odds / surprise +0.36

Costliest loss Lost to Konyerd 1252 at 82% odds / surprise -0.82 /

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 JimTheTANK Win 2-1 1.0× Swiss

R2 RogueState_StephenCaro Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R3 Konyerd Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 Nick Alifano Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 VonGangsteel Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R6 caio402 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss