LGG_BlueFalcon at Sector Qualifier Limited Philadelphia

melee.gg
Sector Limited October 11, 2025 Record 1-5-0 Field 474
Rating after 1,452
-162
Rating before 1,614 RD 152
Rating after 1,452 RD 131
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 1,016 vs field -532
Field strength Mean 1,548 · Median 1,500 · 474 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 1-5 -140.5 1.15× -21.1 -161.6 1452
Total 1-5-0 -161.6 1452
Biggest upset Beat Thunderdome 1477 at 61% odds / surprise +0.39
Costliest loss Lost to TaraH 1418 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 / +85 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1477~ Thunderdome Win 61% 2-1 1.15× +32.7 Swiss
R2 1677~ StardustExtremist Loss 45% 1-2 1.15× -37.7 Swiss
R3 1570~ Michael Parrish Loss 54% 1-2 1.15× -45.1 Swiss
R4 1500~ Davinci Loss 59% 1-2 1.15× -46.9 Swiss
R5 1418~ TaraH Loss 66% 0-2 1.15× -55.6 Swiss
R6 1428~ Kolby Elliott Loss 65% 0-2 1.15× -55.3 Swiss
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