LGG_BlueFalcon at Planetary Qualifier Matawan NJ

melee.gg
Planetary Premier December 20, 2025 Record 1-2-0 Field 64
Rating after 1,635
-28
Rating before 1,663 RD 100
Rating after 1,635 RD 98
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,297 vs field -297
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,605 · 64 rated 90th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 3 matches 1-2 -28.0 1.0× +0.0 -28.0 1635
Total 1-2-0 -28.0 1635
Toughest win Beat Quizno97 1326 at 76% odds
Costliest loss Lost to TransientArts 1564 at 58% odds / surprise -0.58 / +34 swing

Matches (3)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1326~ Quizno97 Win 76% 2-0 1.0× +8.3 Swiss
R2 1564 TransientArts Loss 58% 1-2 1.0× -20.0 Swiss
R3 1635~ tom_golden Loss 52% 1-2 1.0× -17.7 Swiss
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