Rankings / LGG_BlueFalcon / Regional Championship Limited Milwaukee

LGG_BlueFalcon at Regional Championship Limited Milwaukee

melee.gg
Regional Limited February 20, 2026 Record 9-3-0 Field 561
Rating after 1,689
+236
Rating before 1,452 RD 136
Rating after 1,689 RD 110
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,974 vs field +381
Field strength Mean 1,593 · Median 1,565 · 562 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Dhostutl 2
TH_Lowercase 0
TH_MoxlessMatt 0
MND_gundy 2
Mcbober 0
BobbySapphire 2
SobekSobek 0
CadeH13 2
Semifinals
BobbySapphire 2
MND_gundy 0
CadeH13 2
Dhostutl 0
Finals
BobbySapphire 2
CadeH13 1
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 12 matches 9-3 +181.6 1.3× +54.5 +236.1 1689
Total 9-3-0 +236.1 1689
Biggest upset Beat Ophir Marom 1834 at 22% odds / surprise +0.78
Costliest loss Lost to KingGrouber 1603 at 38% odds / surprise -0.38 / +78 swing

Matches (12)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1457~ Joseph Carter Win 50% 2-0 1.3× +38.8 Swiss
R2 1500~ scott rogganbuck Win 46% 2-0 1.3× +39.0 Swiss
R3 1604~ SamuRy Win 38% 2-0 1.3× +48.0 Swiss
R4 1834 Ophir Marom Win 22% 2-0 1.3× +62.0 Swiss
R5 1533 Sleemo Win 43% 2-0 1.3× +44.4 Swiss
R6 1781~ Fives501st Win 25% 2-0 1.3× +58.2 Swiss
R7 1433~ Cameron Arnold Win 52% 2-0 1.3× +37.1 Swiss
R8 1927~ ECL_Chrispy Loss 17% 0-2 1.3× -13.4 Swiss
R9 1603 KingGrouber Loss 38% 1-2 1.3× -29.4 Swiss
R10 1533 Sleemo Win 43% 2-1 1.3× +44.4 Swiss
R11 1770~ TheTacoKid Loss 26% 0-2 1.3× -20.1 Swiss
R12 1500~ AndA45 Win 46% 2-0 1.3× +39.0 Swiss
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