KingKaioshin at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 55
Rating after 1,367
-3
Rating before 1,370 RD 91
Rating after 1,367 RD 87
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,344 vs field -244
Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -3.1 1.0× +0.0 -3.1 1367
Total 2-4-0 -3.1 1367
Biggest upset Beat Mordredd1 1390 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to Isaac_B 1464 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +28 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1871 Hunter Shelburne Loss 15% 0-2 1.0× -4.4 Swiss
R2 1390~ Mordredd1 Win 48% 2-0 1.0× +14.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 132, true skill could span ±264).
R3 1376~ darthgator Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +13.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 164, true skill could span ±328).
R4 1641 CannedIce Loss 28% 0-2 1.0× -8.1 Swiss
R5 1670 Kale Orrmons Loss 27% 1-2 1.0× -7.5 Swiss
R6 1464~ Isaac_B Loss 42% 1-2 1.0× -11.8 Swiss
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