Kanickel at Planetary Qualifier Essen

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,440
-6
Rating before 1,446 RD 82
Rating after 1,440 RD 80
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,372 vs field -200
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -6.2 1.0× +0.0 -6.2 1440
Total 2-3-0 -6.2 1440
Biggest upset Beat IorekByrnison 1475 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to xBosco 1317 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 / +23 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1755 nWo_BoboWanKenobi Loss 26% 1-2 1.0× -6.1 Swiss
R2 1366~ NGNR_Phorlo Win 57% 2-1 1.0× +10.0 Swiss
R3 1475~ IorekByrnison Win 48% 2-0 1.0× +12.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±242).
R4 1317~ xBosco Loss 61% 1-2 1.0× -14.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 132, true skill could span ±264).
R5 1601 ChickenAreEvil_TDM Loss 37% 0-2 1.0× -8.7 Swiss
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