KH44_MCG at Planetary Qualifier Mechanicsburg

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Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,746
-40
Rating before 1,786 RD 96
Rating after 1,746 RD 93
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,414 vs field -154
Field strength Mean 1,568 · Median 1,565 · 72 rated 38th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -40.2 1.0× +0.0 -40.2 1746
Total 2-3-0 -40.2 1746
Biggest upset Beat ScuttlebuttGDP 1680 at 59% odds / surprise +0.41
Costliest loss Lost to th3m493 1405 at 78% odds / surprise -0.78 / +31 swing

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Jonathanlogan Win 71% 2-0 1.0× +8.5 Swiss
R2 1500~ Andrew Blank Loss 71% 1-2 1.0× -20.7 Swiss
R3 1680 ScuttlebuttGDP Win 59% 2-1 1.0× +12.9 Swiss
R4 1607~ craigpfeifer Loss 65% 1-2 1.0× -20.1 Swiss
R5 1405~ th3m493 Loss 78% 1-2 1.0× -24.2 Swiss
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