JustinLizza at Planetary Qualifier Anderson

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 42
Rating after 1,665
+165
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,665 RD 178
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,831 vs field +282
Field strength Mean 1,549 · Median 1,526 · 42 rated 17th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +165.0 1.0× +0.0 +165.0 1665
Total 4-2-0 +165.0 1665
Biggest upset Beat BN_Philaffle 1778 at 28% odds / surprise +0.72
Costliest loss Lost to fatherfigure 1584 at 43% odds / surprise -0.43 / +178 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1537~ Bigman9000 Win 47% 2-0 1.0× +94.5 Swiss
R2 1778~ BN_Philaffle Win 28% 2-1 1.0× +131.0 Swiss
R3 1625~ AppleGawd Loss 40% 1-2 1.0× -71.6 Swiss
R4 1584~ fatherfigure Loss 43% 1-2 1.0× -76.8 Swiss
R5 1486~ Colby_J_Chevrolet Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +87.1 Swiss
R6 1705~ mitchell85304 Win 34% 2-1 1.0× +120.0 Swiss
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