Juanmi_TheCantinaCrew at Regional Championship Bilbao Limited

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Regional Limited October 10, 2025 Record 1-5-0 Field 446

Rating after 1,263

-93

Rating before 1,356 RD 152

Rating after 1,263 RD 132

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 997

Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,525 · 457 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1356 → Swiss 1263 -92.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Hiere 0

FilS 2

Cuendae 1

Wojciech Olszewski 2

Bandit01 2

miguelitto01 1

QCK_CharlyBacon 0

MikaelPL 2

Semifinals

Bandit01 2

Wojciech Olszewski 1

MikaelPL 2

FilS 1

Finals

MikaelPL 0

Bandit01 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 1-5 -71.4 1.3× -21.4 -92.8 1263

Total 1-5-0 -92.8 1263

Biggest upset Beat GloktaPRT 1367 at 49% odds / surprise +0.51

Costliest loss Lost to Gambito 1500 at 39% odds / surprise -0.39 /

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 GloktaPRT Win 2-1 1.3× Swiss

R2 Gambito Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R3 leninegz Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R4 Elvecinofriki Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

R5 simone grande Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

R6 neoricar Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss