Joshua Pietersen at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town
melee.gg
Rating before
1,500
RD 187
Rating after
1,389
RD 155
Effective multiplier
1.0×
weighted avg
Performance
1,100
vs field
Field strength
Mean 1,526
· Median 1,500
· 22 rated
12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2
Biggest upset
Beat TheMystic
at 50% odds
/
surprise +0.5
Costliest loss
Lost to Adjcass
at 56% odds
/
surprise -0.56
/
+105 swing
Matches (5)
Round
HRI
Opponent
Result
Odds
Game W-L
Multiplier
Δ
Type
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 163, true skill could span ±326).
Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).