Joshua Pietersen at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 22
Rating after 1,389
-111
Rating before 1,500 RD 187
Rating after 1,389 RD 155
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,100 vs field -426
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -110.7 1.0× +0.0 -110.7 1389
Total 1-4-0 -110.7 1389
Biggest upset Beat TheMystic 1500 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5
Costliest loss Lost to Adjcass 1426 at 56% odds / surprise -0.56 / +105 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ TheMystic Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +50.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1677~ john196 Loss 36% 0-2 1.0× -38.3 Swiss
R3 1440~ ouchthegreat Loss 55% 1-2 1.0× -58.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 163, true skill could span ±326).
R4 1426~ Adjcass Loss 56% 0-2 1.0× -58.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).
R5 1624~ prettyflyforajedi Loss 40% 0-2 1.0× -42.5 Swiss
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