JonahBR at Planetary Qualifier Yuma

melee.gg
Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-1 Field 43
Rating after 1,696
+109
Rating before 1,588 RD 152
Rating after 1,696 RD 133
Effective multiplier 0.98× weighted avg
Performance 1,930 vs field +355
Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,552 · 42 rated 46th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +107.0 1.0× +0.0 +107.0 1695
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -16.4 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +2.9 -13.4 1680
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 43 +15.0 1695
Total 4-2-1 +108.5 1696
Biggest upset Beat SYC_AdmiralEwok 1698 at 41% odds / surprise +0.59
Costliest loss Lost to Spencer Freeman 1926 at 32% odds / surprise -0.32 / +78 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1698~ SYC_AdmiralEwok Win 41% 2-0 1.0× +43.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 122, true skill could span ±244).
R2 1675~ Nauk Win 43% 2-0 1.0× +41.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R3 1926~ Spencer Freeman Loss 25% 1-2 1.0× -18.2 Swiss
R4 1451~ bhughe05 Win 61% 2-1 1.0× +28.5 Swiss
R5 1557~ ShazamPowers Win 53% 2-1 1.0× +34.7 Swiss
R6 1616~ CBG_Ruben Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1926~ Spencer Freeman Loss 32% 0-2 0.82× -14.9 Top Cut
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