JonD37 at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 82

Rating after 1,496

-13

Rating before 1,508 RD 166

Rating after 1,496 RD 142

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,461

Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1508 → Swiss 1496 -12.6

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

DavB87 0

Byrus_MythicForce 2

realready 1

Guacamol 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 2

BennyBlues 0

Semifinals

Krehlo_MythicForce 2

Byrus_MythicForce 0

Order514_Dinozor 2

Kevin Anctil 1

Finals

Krehlo_MythicForce 1

Order514_Dinozor 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -12.6 1.0× +0.0 -12.6 1496

Total 2-3-0 -12.6 1496

Biggest upset Beat Jozzul 1584 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56

Costliest loss Lost to Obi-Dan 1445 at 55% odds / surprise -0.55 /

Matches (5)

R1 Order514_CT Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 Obi-Dan Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±253).

R3 WTFxRambo Win 2-0 1.0× +44.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 141, true skill could span ±283).

R4 Jozzul Win 2-1 1.0× +49.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R5 ORA_JusDem Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss