JaviHT at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-1 Field 44

Rating after 1,630

-21

Rating before 1,652 RD 117

Rating after 1,630 RD 108

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,508

Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1652 → Swiss 1630 -21.3

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

JAEstwald 1

Diego-jr 2

Loira 2

Farreli 0

Evilcloud 0

miguividal 2

Fuegoscuro86 2

McLion34 1

Semifinals

Diego-jr 0

Loira 2

miguividal 2

Fuegoscuro86 1

Finals

Loira 2

miguividal 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-3-1 -21.3 1.0× +0.0 -21.3 1630

Total 2-3-1 -21.3 1630

Biggest upset Beat dgnrationx 1724 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56

Costliest loss Lost to Diego-jr 1500 at 62% odds / surprise -0.62 /

Matches (6)

R1 DavidAlvarez Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R2 ivanSAT Win 2-1 1.0× +19.6 Swiss

R3 leninegz Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

R4 dgnrationx Win 2-1 1.0× +25.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R5 Diego-jr Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R6 SSB_Bortx Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss