Jaredm1210 at Regional Qualifier Minneapolis

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 24, 2025 Record 6-3-0 Field 636
Rating after 1,702
+202
Rating before 1,500 RD 184
Rating after 1,702 RD 138
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,841 vs field +293
Field strength Mean 1,548 · Median 1,500 · 631 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 6-3 +155.6 1.3× +46.7 +202.3 1702
Total 6-3-0 +202.3 1702
Biggest upset Beat JamboyJokobo 1759 at 29% odds / surprise +0.71
Costliest loss Lost to crackerbox42 1536 at 47% odds / surprise -0.47 / +135 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1759 JamboyJokobo Win 29% 2-1 1.3× +98.6 Swiss
R2 1536~ crackerbox42 Loss 47% 1-2 1.3× -63.6 Swiss
R3 1594~ Kholossal Win 42% 2-0 1.3× +78.3 Swiss
R4 1595 Vulture305thLegion Win 42% 2-0 1.3× +79.7 Swiss
R5 1683~ OsmiumBlaze Win 35% 2-0 1.3× +88.7 Swiss
R6 1749 karmakut Loss 30% 0-2 1.3× -41.9 Swiss
R7 1674 Oshram Win 36% 2-0 1.3× +89.5 Swiss
R8 1666~ CST_Rapscallion Loss 36% 1-2 1.3× -49.9 Swiss
R9 1394~ Astroid52 Win 59% 2-0 1.3× +55.4 Swiss
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