JakeBonnell at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-0-1 Field 55

Rating after 1,643

+190

Rating before 1,453 RD 188

Rating after 1,643 RD 153

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 2,328

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1453 → Swiss 1692 +238.8

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 4-0-1 +238.8 1.0× +0.0 +238.8 1692

Total 4-0-1 +190.4 1643

Biggest upset Beat JustonCase 1853 at 20% odds / surprise +0.8

Matches (5)

R2 Alexbonnell894 Draw 1-1 1.0× +10.0 Swiss

R3 qoopboodqoop Win 2-0 1.0× +66.5 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 40% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R4 Luwunacat Win 2-1 1.0× +76.1 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 32% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R5 JustonCase Win 2-1 1.0× +91.3 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 20% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R6 Broknows101 Win 2-1 1.0× +74.0 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 33% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 123, true skill could span ±245).