JPC at Planetary Qualifier Groton

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-3-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,692
-38
Rating before 1,730 RD 88
Rating after 1,692 RD 87
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,231 vs field -339
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 1-3 -38.4 1.0× +0.0 -38.4 1692
Total 1-3-0 -38.4 1692
Biggest upset Beat Todd Green 1531 at 66% odds / surprise +0.34
Costliest loss Lost to Map_The_Great 1500 at 68% odds / surprise -0.68 / +26 swing

Matches (4)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1591 SpectreZero Loss 62% 1-2 1.0× -16.7 Swiss
R2 1531~ Todd Green Win 66% 2-1 1.0× +9.1 Swiss
R3 1500~ Map_The_Great Loss 68% 1-2 1.0× -17.7 Swiss
R4 1616~ maciej710 Loss 59% 0-2 1.0× -15.4 Swiss
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