Hubertos at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,447
-129
Rating before 1,575 RD 177
Rating after 1,447 RD 152
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,058 vs field -536
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -128.8 1.0× +0.0 -128.8 1447
Total 1-4-0 -128.8 1447
Toughest win Beat vesnuss 1250 at 75% odds
Costliest loss Lost to bxsic 1326 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +97 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1945~ DrakonianLord Loss 23% 0-2 1.0× -22.5 Swiss
R2 1716 Tomasz Napierała Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -38.0 Swiss
R4 1432 Orka Loss 62% 0-2 1.0× -61.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R5 1250 vesnuss Win 75% 2-0 1.0× +25.0 Swiss
R6 1326~ bxsic Loss 69% 0-2 1.0× -67.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 173, true skill could span ±347).
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