Rankings / HotShot_AT_44 / Planetary Qualifier Victoria Park

HotShot_AT_44 at Planetary Qualifier Victoria Park

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-1-2
Rating after 1,599
+30
Rating before 1,569 RD 110
Rating after 1,599 RD 106
Effective multiplier 1.04x delta-weighted

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss. Top-cut rounds add more on top (Quarterfinals +0.15, Semifinals +0.25, Finals +0.35).

Phase Record Raw Glicko-2 Multiplier Applied Running
Swiss · 3 matches 3-0 +55.9 1.0× +55.9 1625
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -23.2 1.15× -26.7 1598
Total 3-1-2 +29.7 1599

Phase numbers use each opponent’s pre-tournament rating (the one shown on the leaderboard). The engine uses the opponent’s rating at the moment of the match — which for top-cut rounds includes their own Swiss performance — so the phase contributions above are approximate for Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Finals. The Total is the engine’s actual output.

Biggest upset Beat mmercer71 1671 at 42% odds / surprise +0.58
Costliest loss Lost to RickWallis23 1469 at 63% odds / surprise -0.63

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Type
R1 1418 BennyWanKenobi Win 62% 2-0 1.15x Swiss
R2 1595 Walker1998 Win 48% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
▲ R3 1671 mmercer71 Win 42% 2-1 1.15x Swiss
R4 1681 Wilbur Wong Draw — 0-0 1.15x Swiss
R5 1635 RoosterCabbage Draw — 0-0 1.15x Swiss
▼ QF 1469 RickWallis23 Loss 63% 1-2 1.15x Top Cut

Per-match multipliers reflect what the engine applied at the time this snapshot was recorded. The Effective Multiplier above is a delta-weighted average across all phases — Finals matches swing the headline more than Swiss rounds when they produced bigger rating changes. How it works.