Guzi6 at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,430
+52
Rating before 1,378 RD 122
Rating after 1,430 RD 113
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,672 vs field +78
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +52.2 1.0× +0.0 +52.2 1430
Total 3-3-0 +52.2 1430
Biggest upset Beat MrUntiltable 1634 at 30% odds / surprise +0.7

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1863 MikaelPL Loss 16% 0-2 1.0× -8.1 Swiss
R2 1492~ mackogib Win 41% 2-0 1.0× +28.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 174, true skill could span ±348).
R3 1304~ Danuel_Nie Win 56% 2-0 1.0× +21.4 Swiss
R4 1634~ MrUntiltable Win 30% 2-1 1.0× +34.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 30% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 126, true skill could span ±253).
R5 1815 Piotr Jabłoński Loss 18% 1-2 1.0× -9.3 Swiss
R6 1879 Szavi Loss 15% 1-2 1.0× -7.8 Swiss
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