Daniel Holtzinger at Planetary Qualifier Bratislava

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Planetary Premier August 23, 2025 Record 3-3-1 Field 79
Rating after 2,015
-76
Rating before 2,091 RD 97
Rating after 2,015 RD 94
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,513 vs field -50
Field strength Mean 1,563 · Median 1,500 · 79 rated 70th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Finals
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-3-1 -76.1 1.0× +0.0 -76.1 2015
Total 3-3-1 -76.1 2015
Toughest win Beat virtualz15 1578 at 85% odds
Costliest loss Lost to SB_Gagath 1460 at 89% odds / surprise -0.89 / +32 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1523~ W74Wolf Draw 87% 1-1 1.0× -11.9 Swiss
R2 1578~ virtualz15 Win 85% 2-0 1.0× +4.9 Swiss
R3 1804 Odol Loss 73% 1-2 1.0× -23.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 73% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R4 1489~ PeekaySK Loss 88% 0-1 1.0× -28.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 88% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 131, true skill could span ±261).
R5 1266~ Sebastian Schloffer Win 94% 2-0 1.0× +1.9 Swiss
R6 1467~ Yandril Win 89% 2-0 1.0× +3.6 Swiss
R7 1460~ SB_Gagath Loss 89% 0-2 1.0× -28.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 89% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 150, true skill could span ±301).
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