Daniel Holtzinger at Planetary Qualifier Schwechat

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Planetary Premier August 31, 2025 Record 4-2-0 Field 62
Rating after 1,988
-27
Rating before 2,015 RD 94
Rating after 1,988 RD 92
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,747 vs field +193
Field strength Mean 1,554 · Median 1,516 · 59 rated 57th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 -27.4 1.0× +0.0 -27.4 1988
Total 4-2-0 -27.4 1988
Toughest win Beat Akos 1575 at 81% odds
Costliest loss Lost to PeekaySK 1577 at 81% odds / surprise -0.81 / +31 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1766~ Thomas Hönigsberger Loss 70% 1-2 1.0× -21.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 137, true skill could span ±275).
R2 1500~ Theputrid Win 83% 2-0 1.0× +4.7 Swiss
R3 1577 PeekaySK Loss 81% 0-1 1.0× -25.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 81% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R4 1575~ Akos Win 81% 2-0 1.0× +5.7 Swiss
R5 1473~ lawsilver Win 85% 2-0 1.0× +4.3 Swiss
R6 1246~ KiralyMatyas Win 93% 2-0 1.0× +2.2 Swiss
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