Daniel Holtzinger at Planetary Qualifier Zagreb

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Planetary Limited December 13, 2025 Record 4-2-1 Field 39
Rating after 1,774
+11
Rating before 1,764 RD 129
Rating after 1,774 RD 117
Effective multiplier 0.89× weighted avg
Performance 1,684 vs field +144
Field strength Mean 1,540 · Median 1,500 · 39 rated 28th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +14.1 1.0× +0.0 +14.1 1778
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -22.4 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +4.0 -18.3 1753
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 39 +15.0 1768
Total 4-2-1 +10.7 1774
Biggest upset Beat chociloni 1500 at 70% odds / surprise +0.3
Costliest loss Lost to Windchaser000 1500 at 70% odds / surprise -0.7 / +46 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Termodinamika Draw 70% 1-1 1.0× -9.9 Swiss
R2 1480~ Peter Vincze Win 72% 2-0 1.0× +15.2 Swiss
R3 1500~ WHTHG_Domo Loss 70% 0-2 1.0× -35.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1500~ chociloni Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +15.6 Swiss
R5 1500~ lawsilver Win 70% 2-1 1.0× +15.6 Swiss
R6 1500~ RokoM Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +15.6 Swiss
QF 1500~ Windchaser000 Loss 70% 0-2 0.82× -29.1 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 70% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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