Daniel Holtzinger at Sector Qualifier Tilburg

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Sector Premier January 10, 2026 Record 5-3-0 Field 477

Rating after 1,903

-4

Rating before 1,907 RD 97

Rating after 1,903 RD 91

Effective multiplier 1.15×

Performance 1,885

Field strength Mean 1,591 · Median 1,567 · 477 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1907 → Swiss 1903 -4.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

PatrickRedondo 2

Victor Manuel Alvarado Iglesia 1

Beton 1

Mikołaj Wendowski 2

Magnetar 2

Fabiano Campolucci 1

danjackson1 0

Menicks 2

Semifinals

PatrickRedondo 0

Mikołaj Wendowski 2

Magnetar 2

Menicks 1

Finals

Mikołaj Wendowski 2

Magnetar 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 8 matches 5-3 -3.5 1.15× -0.5 -4.0 1903

Total 5-3-0 -4.0 1903

Biggest upset Beat BN_ioucounoujr 2166 at 29% odds / surprise +0.71

Costliest loss Lost to Pecoraban 1503 at 80% odds / surprise -0.8 /

Matches (8)

R1 DerDude Win 2-0 1.15× +6.3 Swiss

R2 BWS_Petitrudy Win 2-0 1.15× +9.1 Swiss

R3 ImSoHumble Win 2-0 1.15× +18.3 Swiss

R4 BEO_Jango Loss 0-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R5 erPeppo Win 2-0 1.15× +10.3 Swiss

R6 Pecoraban Loss 1-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 80% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R7 BN_ioucounoujr Win 2-1 1.15× +26.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 29% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R8 Manwe Loss 0-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.