Daniel Holtzinger at Sector Qualifier Paris

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Sector Limited January 31, 2026 Record 5-3-1 Field 512

Rating after 1,782

Rating before 1,774 RD 118

Rating after 1,782 RD 104

Effective multiplier 1.15×

Performance 1,805

Field strength Mean 1,565 · Median 1,530 · 490 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1774 → Swiss 1782 +7.4

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Mikołaj Wendowski 1

Fireshow 2

FAME 2

GU_Salyan 1

Babaz 0

Thies Stettler 2

Jędrzej Sobota 0

Fabiano Campolucci 2

Semifinals

Fireshow 1

FAME 2

Thies Stettler 0

Fabiano Campolucci 2

Finals

FAME 2

Fabiano Campolucci 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 9 matches 5-3-1 +6.5 1.15× +1.0 +7.4 1782

Total 5-3-1 +7.4 1782

Biggest upset Beat Mr_Phenu 1719 at 55% odds / surprise +0.45

Costliest loss Lost to AhsokaTommo48 1588 at 65% odds / surprise -0.65 /

Matches (9)

R1 stephenwolf Win 2-0 1.15× +21.8 Swiss

R2 BEO_Zahaphael Loss 1-2 1.15× Swiss

R3 Sach93 Win 2-0 1.15× +14.9 Swiss

R4 Masta Win 2-0 1.15× +20.4 Swiss

R5 undefined Loss 1-2 1.15× Swiss

R6 X0TCG Win 2-1 1.15× +20.4 Swiss

R7 Mr_Phenu Win 2-1 1.15× +24.1 Swiss

R8 O37_McDuck23 Draw 1-1 1.15× -13.7 Swiss

R9 AhsokaTommo48 Loss 0-2 1.15× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 65% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±254).