Grzegorz_J at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,650
-6
Rating before 1,657 RD 115
Rating after 1,650 RD 106
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,616 vs field +22
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -6.5 1.0× +0.0 -6.5 1650
Total 3-3-0 -6.5 1650
Biggest upset Beat Mikołaj Wendowski 2216 at 13% odds / surprise +0.87
Costliest loss Lost to Wosho 1481 at 64% odds / surprise -0.64 / +43 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1481~ Wosho Loss 64% 0-2 1.0× -27.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 141, true skill could span ±282).
R2 1520~ macpodgorski Win 61% 2-0 1.0× +16.8 Swiss
R3 1346~ tomszu Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +11.4 Swiss
R4 2216 Mikołaj Wendowski Win 13% 2-1 1.0× +39.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 13% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1574 Arteusz Loss 57% 0-2 1.0× -25.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R6 1677~ Zaglobamlodszy Loss 48% 0-2 1.0× -21.0 Swiss
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