Grzegorz_J at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw
melee.gg
Rating before
1,657
RD 115
Rating after
1,650
RD 106
Effective multiplier
1.0×
weighted avg
Performance
1,616
vs field
Field strength
Mean 1,594
· Median 1,544
· 63 rated
74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2
Biggest upset
Beat Mikołaj Wendowski
at 13% odds
/
surprise +0.87
Costliest loss
Lost to Wosho
at 64% odds
/
surprise -0.64
/
+43 swing
Matches (6)
Round
HRI
Opponent
Result
Odds
Game W-L
Multiplier
Δ
Type
Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 141, true skill could span ±282).
Glicko-2 predicted only 13% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.