Goon_Clown007 at Planetary Qualifier Wynnum

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 26, 2026 Record 3-3-0
Rating after 1,549
-6
Rating before 1,555 RD 132
Rating after 1,549 RD 117
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,527 vs field -37
Field strength Mean 1,564 · Median 1,551 · 48 rated 33rd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -6.3 1.0× +0.0 -6.3 1549
Total 3-3-0 -6.3 1549
Biggest upset Beat bobmongo 1576 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to brettc 1452 at 59% odds / surprise -0.59 / +57 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1548~ B_J Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +27.7 Swiss
R2 1576 bobmongo Win 48% 2-1 1.0× +29.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1654~ ThatsFine Loss 42% 1-2 1.0× -23.6 Swiss
R4 1466~ Oscilioth Win 57% 2-1 1.0× +24.1 Swiss
R5 1452~ brettc Loss 59% 0-2 1.0× -33.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 137, true skill could span ±274).
R6 1464~ Alan Hili Loss 58% 1-2 1.0× -32.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 151, true skill could span ±302).
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