Goon_Clown007 at Planetary Qualifier Brisbane

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Planetary Premier May 24, 2025 Record 2-1-0 Field 50
Rating after 1,515
+70
Rating before 1,444 RD 191
Rating after 1,515 RD 170
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,775 vs field +221
Field strength Mean 1,554 · Median 1,525 · 50 rated 83rd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 3 matches 2-1 +70.5 1.0× +0.0 +70.5 1515
Total 2-1-0 +70.5 1515
Biggest upset Beat Kirjon 1623 at 36% odds / surprise +0.64
Costliest loss Lost to Crhodan 1547 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +110 swing

Matches (3)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1623~ Kirjon Win 36% 2-1 1.0× +71.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 36% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 171, true skill could span ±341).
R2 1547~ Crhodan Loss 42% 0-2 1.0× -45.8 Swiss
R3 1500~ MrFaKePotato Win 46% 2-0 1.0× +57.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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