Goon_Clown007 at Planetary Qualifier Brisbane

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Planetary Premier August 09, 2025 Record 2-4-0 Field 40

Rating after 1,464

-51

Rating before 1,515 RD 171

Rating after 1,464 RD 142

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,339

Field strength Mean 1,539 · Median 1,523 · 40 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1515 → Swiss 1464 -50.7

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

chrus 1

chinahasowls 2

cayliss 2

TheMonster 0

JasD10 2

AriaRiver 1

Kirjon 2

SC_Fridge 1

Semifinals

chinahasowls 2

cayliss 0

JasD10 2

Kirjon 0

Finals

chinahasowls 0

JasD10 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -50.7 1.0× +0.0 -50.7 1464

Total 2-4-0 -50.7 1464

Biggest upset Beat ThatsFine 1677 at 37% odds / surprise +0.63

Costliest loss Lost to Isotonic 1333 at 64% odds / surprise -0.64 /

Matches (6)

R1 Oscilioth Win 2-1 1.0× +46.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 49% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 146, true skill could span ±292).

R2 ThatsFine Win 2-0 1.0× +58.0 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 148, true skill could span ±296).

R3 SC_Fridge Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 Bryce King Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 51% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R5 Tannon Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 Isotonic Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 193, true skill could span ±387).