Goon_Clown007 at Planetary Qualifier Brisbane

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Planetary Premier December 13, 2025 Record 4-3-0 Field 36
Rating after 1,555
+91
Rating before 1,464 RD 147
Rating after 1,555 RD 127
Effective multiplier 0.97× weighted avg
Performance 1,728 vs field +178
Field strength Mean 1,550 · Median 1,511 · 36 rated 41st Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +88.2 1.0× +0.0 +88.2 1552
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -15.0 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +2.7 -12.3 1539
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 36 +15.0 1554
Total 4-3-0 +90.9 1555
Biggest upset Beat Goon_Clown4 1783 at 25% odds / surprise +0.75
Costliest loss Lost to Kirjon 1643 at 35% odds / surprise -0.35 / +69 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1795 JasD10 Loss 25% 0-2 1.0× -17.4 Swiss
R2 1500~ Ryan Maniam Win 47% 2-1 1.0× +34.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R3 1643~ Kirjon Loss 35% 1-2 1.0× -24.5 Swiss
R4 1783~ Goon_Clown4 Win 25% 2-1 1.0× +52.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 25% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 124, true skill could span ±248).
R5 1500~ Alan Hili Win 47% 2-1 1.0× +34.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1420~ brettc Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +31.6 Swiss
QF 1795 JasD10 Loss 31% 0-2 0.82× -14.2 Top Cut
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