Gold630 at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 6-2-1 Field 55
Rating after 1,957
+53
Rating before 1,904 RD 83
Rating after 1,957 RD 84
Effective multiplier 0.98× weighted avg
Performance 2,141 vs field +553
Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +21.2 1.0× +0.0 +21.2 1925
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +10.5 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +1.3 +11.8 1936
Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +11.5 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +2.1 +13.5 1949
Finals · 1 match 0-1 -12.9 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +4.5 -8.4 1940
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 55 +15.0 1955
Total 6-2-1 +53.1 1957
Biggest upset Beat jkfman101 1959 at 45% odds / surprise +0.55
Costliest loss Lost to Gungang_Istvan 1864 at 57% odds / surprise -0.57 / +22 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1466~ James Woods Win 81% 2-0 1.0× +4.4 Swiss
R2 1959 jkfman101 Win 45% 1-0 1.0× +12.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1669 Mr007agent Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +7.4 Swiss
R4 1836 marshhhh Loss 56% 0-2 1.0× -13.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R5 1871 Hunter Shelburne Win 53% 2-1 1.0× +11.3 Swiss
R6 1669~ Mark Fichtel Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1836 marshhhh Win 58% 2-0 1.12× +11.8 Top Cut
Semis 1897 JElliot Win 53% 2-0 1.18× +13.9 Top Cut
Finals 1864 Gungang_Istvan Loss 57% 0-2 0.65× -8.3 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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