Goggas at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-0 Field 22
Rating after 1,402
+86
Rating before 1,316 RD 159
Rating after 1,402 RD 141
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,672 vs field +146
Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated 12th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 +85.6 1.0× +0.0 +85.6 1402
Total 3-2-0 +85.6 1402
Biggest upset Beat KimVee 1500 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65
Costliest loss Lost to RocketLight 1430 at 41% odds / surprise -0.41 / +80 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1825~ Zeyaad Pandey Loss 15% 1-2 1.0× -12.7 Swiss
R2 1430~ RocketLight Loss 41% 0-2 1.0× -32.3 Swiss
R3 1500~ KimVee Win 35% 2-0 1.0× +50.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 35% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 187, true skill could span ±373).
R4 1500~ TheMystic Win 36% 2-1 1.0× +48.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 36% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R5 1474~ Bruce537 Win 37% 2-0 1.0× +49.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 166, true skill could span ±331).
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