Gawgles at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,495

-68

Rating before 1,563 RD 152

Rating after 1,495 RD 130

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,311

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1563 → Swiss 1495 -68.4

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -68.4 1.0× +0.0 -68.4 1495

Total 2-4-0 -68.4 1495

Biggest upset Beat Dudacus 1507 at 55% odds / surprise +0.45

Costliest loss Lost to molaram 1524 at 53% odds / surprise -0.53 /

Matches (6)

R1 molaram Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 53% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R2 Txlawwhawk Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 Dudacus Win 2-0 1.0× +33.6 Swiss

R4 qoopboodqoop Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 CaramelGoodness Win 2-0 1.0× +20.1 Swiss

R6 darkzepher Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 139, true skill could span ±278).