Todd Green at Planetary Qualifier Groton

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,483
-49
Rating before 1,531 RD 124
Rating after 1,483 RD 114
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,194 vs field -376
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -48.8 1.0× +0.0 -48.8 1483
Total 1-4-0 -48.8 1483
Biggest upset Beat TimeCop 1381 at 62% odds / surprise +0.38
Costliest loss Lost to TH_TBirdASDF 1533 at 50% odds / surprise -0.5 / +51 swing

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1983 Eric Hunter Loss 18% 1-2 1.0× -9.2 Swiss
R2 1730 JPC Loss 34% 1-2 1.0× -17.2 Swiss
R3 1381~ TimeCop Win 62% 2-1 1.0× +18.7 Swiss
R4 1591 SpectreZero Loss 45% 0-2 1.0× -22.9 Swiss
R5 1533 TH_TBirdASDF Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -25.4 Swiss
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