GarmBelIblis at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-5-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,424
-35
Rating before 1,458 RD 119
Rating after 1,424 RD 107
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,280 vs field -299
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 2-5 -34.5 1.0× +0.0 -34.5 1424
Total 2-5-0 -34.5 1424
Biggest upset Beat captWes 1500 at 47% odds / surprise +0.53
Costliest loss Lost to LouisValiquette 1500 at 47% odds / surprise -0.47 / +43 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1712 Kal_MythicForce Loss 30% 1-2 1.0× -14.0 Swiss
R2 1500~ LouisValiquette Loss 47% 1-2 1.0× -20.3 Swiss
R3 1544~ EriP34 Loss 43% 1-2 1.0× -19.5 Swiss
R4 1446 darth_waste Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +23.0 Swiss
R5 1500~ captWes Win 47% 2-1 1.0× +23.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1587~ suspect Loss 39% 1-2 1.0× -18.3 Swiss
R7 1653 Tristen Gillespie Loss 34% 0-2 1.0× -16.0 Swiss
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