Frogdoc at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,564
-54
Rating before 1,617 RD 146
Rating after 1,564 RD 124
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,440 vs field -132
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -53.7 1.0× +0.0 -53.7 1564
Total 3-4-0 -53.7 1564
Biggest upset Beat EW_Tobik 1707 at 43% odds / surprise +0.57
Costliest loss Lost to Diddi6986 1324 at 73% odds / surprise -0.73 / +70 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1528~ RustySynapse Loss 57% 1-2 1.0× -38.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R2 1500~ EinfachJan Win 59% 2-1 1.0× +26.2 Swiss
R3 1707~ EW_Tobik Win 43% 2-0 1.0× +39.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 143, true skill could span ±285).
R4 1513~ DarthTatlises Win 58% 2-1 1.0× +27.6 Swiss
R5 1434~ DEschain Loss 65% 0-2 1.0× -44.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 65% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 129, true skill could span ±257).
R6 1710 Urlok Loss 42% 1-2 1.0× -29.0 Swiss
R7 1324 Diddi6986 Loss 73% 1-2 1.0× -51.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 73% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
// keyboard

Shortcuts

Focus search
/
Next row
j
Previous row
k
Open focused row
Enter
Show / hide this panel
?
Close dialogs
Esc

j / k navigate rows on the leaderboard and tournaments index. Arrow keys work too.