FranscoisdT at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-2-1 Field 22

Rating after 1,565

-18

Rating before 1,583 RD 180

Rating after 1,565 RD 152

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,522

Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.06 +0.09 +0.12 Losses -0.09 -0.14 -0.18

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1583 → Swiss 1565 -18.3

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Sungazer 2

RocketLight 0

UnableToWin 2

Adjcass 0

luka8luka 2

TonyFBaby 0

john196 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Semifinals

Sungazer 2

UnableToWin 0

luka8luka 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Finals

Sungazer 1

Zeyaad Pandey 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 2-2-1 -18.3 1.0× +0.0 -18.3 1565

Total 2-2-1 -18.3 1565

Biggest upset Beat prettyflyforajedi 1624 at 47% odds / surprise +0.53

Costliest loss Lost to RocketLight 1430 at 62% odds / surprise -0.62 /

Matches (5)

R1 UnableToWin Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 169, true skill could span ±338).

R2 prettyflyforajedi Win 2-1 1.0× +53.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 155, true skill could span ±311).

R3 Bruce537 Win 2-0 1.0× +41.0 Swiss

R4 RocketLight Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 157, true skill could span ±313).

R5 Henteezy Draw 1-1 1.0× -6.1 Swiss