Fouc at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,407
+4
Rating before 1,403 RD 152
Rating after 1,407 RD 137
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,428 vs field -151
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 +4.0 1.0× +0.0 +4.0 1407
Total 2-3-0 +4.0 1407
Biggest upset Beat ValP10 1500 at 42% odds / surprise +0.58
Costliest loss Lost to kunshuf 1419 at 49% odds / surprise -0.49 / +70 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 2084 Order514_Dinozor Loss 9% 1-2 1.0× -7.0 Swiss
R2 1200~ Order514_Trepan Win 66% 2-1 1.0× +24.8 Swiss
R3 1500~ ValP10 Win 42% 2-1 1.0× +39.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 42% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1718~ rodrigo514 Loss 26% 0-2 1.0× -19.2 Swiss
R5 1419~ kunshuf Loss 49% 1-2 1.0× -33.9 Swiss
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