Flippityfloop at Planetary Qualifier Groton

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 7-2-1 Field 69
Rating after 1,986
+48
Rating before 1,938 RD 88
Rating after 1,986 RD 88
Effective multiplier 0.96× weighted avg
Performance 2,108 vs field +538
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-1-1 +21.7 1.0× +0.0 +21.7 1960
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +6.0 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +0.7 +6.7 1963
Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +11.8 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +2.1 +13.9 1976
Finals · 1 match 0-1 -14.2 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +5.0 -9.2 1966
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 69 +15.0 1981
Total 7-2-1 +48.2 1986
Biggest upset Beat CAPLOCK 1949 at 49% odds / surprise +0.51
Costliest loss Lost to Jason Seabury 1883 at 58% odds / surprise -0.58 / +25 swing

Matches (10)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 2054 BobbySapphire Loss 40% 0-2 1.0× -10.9 Swiss
R2 1311~ ELedesma Win 89% 2-0 1.0× +2.9 Swiss
R3 1708 Ulacanis Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +8.4 Swiss
R4 1605 NG_TheBluesEffect_Blues686 Win 76% 2-0 1.0× +6.6 Swiss
R5 1279~ Vicic Win 89% 2-0 1.0× +2.7 Swiss
R6 1949 CAPLOCK Win 49% 2-0 1.0× +13.7 Swiss
R7 1883 Jason Seabury Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1309~ Elgringito Win 89% 2-0 1.12× +3.4 Top Cut
Semis 1862 Farmboy087 Win 59% 2-0 1.18× +13.8 Top Cut
Finals 1883 Jason Seabury Loss 58% 1-2 0.65× -9.5 Top Cut
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