Farreli at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-1 Field 44
Rating after 1,628
+60
Rating before 1,568 RD 150
Rating after 1,628 RD 130
Effective multiplier 0.96× weighted avg
Performance 1,775 vs field +230
Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated 14th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +82.2 1.0× +0.0 +82.2 1650
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -26.8 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +4.8 -22.0 1626
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 44 +15.0 1641
Total 4-2-1 +60.2 1628
Biggest upset Beat SSB_Lier 1695 at 39% odds / surprise +0.61
Costliest loss Lost to Evilcloud 1354 at 67% odds / surprise -0.67 / +71 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1514~ amigomarcos Win 55% 2-1 1.0× +32.9 Swiss
R2 1500~ SauronOp Win 55% 2-0 1.0× +30.3 Swiss
R3 1695 SSB_Lier Win 39% 2-0 1.0× +44.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R4 1629~ Eroslorenzo Win 45% 2-0 1.0× +39.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 130, true skill could span ±259).
R5 1354~ Evilcloud Loss 67% 1-2 1.0× -47.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 190, true skill could span ±379).
R6 1661 Fuegoscuro86 Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1652 Loira Loss 50% 0-2 0.82× -25.7 Top Cut
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