FTC_Makystar at Regional Qualifier Lille

melee.gg
Regional Premier May 03, 2025 Record 3-3-0 Field 860
Rating after 1,558
-9
Rating before 1,567 RD 118
Rating after 1,558 RD 108
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 1,538 vs field -5
Field strength Mean 1,543 · Median 1,500 · 860 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -6.9 1.3× -2.1 -8.9 1558
Total 3-3-0 -8.9 1558
Biggest upset Beat O37_Redsen 1556 at 51% odds / surprise +0.49
Costliest loss Lost to Adele 1500 at 55% odds / surprise -0.55 / +56 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Adele Loss 55% 1-2 1.3× -30.7 Swiss
R2 1500~ pixophil Win 55% 2-0 1.3× +24.9 Swiss
R3 1500~ JulR31 Win 55% 2-1 1.3× +24.9 Swiss
R4 1561~ adsua3 Loss 51% 1-2 1.3× -30.0 Swiss
R5 1556~ O37_Redsen Win 51% 2-0 1.3× +28.6 Swiss
R6 1606 Driving Loss 47% 1-2 1.3× -28.0 Swiss
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