FORFUNN3000 at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 63

Rating after 1,209

-12

Rating before 1,221 RD 153

Rating after 1,209 RD 131

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,175

Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1221 → Swiss 1209 -11.6

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Beton 0

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 2

DrakonianLord 1

Harrison_Solo 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

siny 0

Cuendae 2

Semifinals

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

Cuendae 0

Finals

Gibki 2

Piotr Jabłoński 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -11.6 1.0× +0.0 -11.6 1209

Total 2-4-0 -11.6 1209

Biggest upset Beat Oyabin 1366 at 38% odds / surprise +0.62

Costliest loss Lost to tomszu 1346 at 40% odds / surprise -0.4 /

Matches (6)

R1 SirMesmer Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 tomszu Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 DuxPL Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 Jan Jurczyszyn Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 Oyabin Win 2-0 1.0× +46.8 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 38% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R6 Cread2 Win 2-0 1.0× +40.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 146, true skill could span ±293).