FF_LordBuckethead at Planetary Qualifier London

melee.gg
Planetary Premier October 19, 2025 Record 3-3-0 Field 55
Rating after 1,507
-4
Rating before 1,511 RD 147
Rating after 1,507 RD 128
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,503 vs field -58
Field strength Mean 1,561 · Median 1,537 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -3.6 1.0× +0.0 -3.6 1507
Total 3-3-0 -3.6 1507
Biggest upset Beat KriD10 1592 at 43% odds / surprise +0.57
Costliest loss Lost to Roganvenom 1407 at 58% odds / surprise -0.58 / +67 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1592~ KriD10 Win 43% 2-0 1.0× +39.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 43% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 143, true skill could span ±286).
R2 1545 shmoogle Loss 47% 0-2 1.0× -32.7 Swiss
R3 1407~ Roganvenom Loss 58% 1-2 1.0× -39.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 180, true skill could span ±361).
R4 1709 Wylde77 Loss 34% 0-2 1.0× -23.7 Swiss
R5 1500~ AlexMc23 Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +31.8 Swiss
R6 1259~ David_MoP Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +20.7 Swiss
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