FF_LordBuckethead at Planetary Qualifier London

melee.gg
Planetary Premier January 11, 2026 Record 2-2-2 Field 54
Rating after 1,514
+7
Rating before 1,507 RD 130
Rating after 1,514 RD 117
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,545 vs field +5
Field strength Mean 1,540 · Median 1,529 · 54 rated 25th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-2-2 +7.2 1.0× +0.0 +7.2 1514
Total 2-2-2 +7.2 1514
Biggest upset Beat JamesDoering 1582 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56
Costliest loss Lost to kabbage345 1663 at 37% odds / surprise -0.37 / +56 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1582~ JamesDoering Win 44% 2-1 1.0× +30.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 168, true skill could span ±336).
R2 1832 Tommaso Madonia Draw 25% 1-1 1.0× +14.2 Swiss
R3 1663 kabbage345 Loss 37% 1-2 1.0× -20.6 Swiss
R4 1231~ SamB53 Draw 71% 1-1 1.0× -11.7 Swiss
R5 1738 NXS_Emi Loss 31% 0-2 1.0× -17.6 Swiss
R6 1182 GRwah Win 75% 2-1 1.0× +14.0 Swiss
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