Evilcloud at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-1-2 Field 44
Rating after 1,570
+216
Rating before 1,354 RD 190
Rating after 1,570 RD 159
Effective multiplier 0.98× weighted avg
Performance 2,047 vs field +502
Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated 14th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-0-2 +236.1 1.0× +0.0 +236.1 1590
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -24.8 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +4.5 -20.3 1570
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 44 +15.0 1585
Total 4-1-2 +215.8 1570
Biggest upset Beat SSB_Bortx 1718 at 22% odds / surprise +0.78

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1558~ JAEstwald Win 33% 2-1 1.0× +74.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 33% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±241).
R2 1363 GloktaPRT Win 49% 2-1 1.0× +56.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 49% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1718 SSB_Bortx Win 22% 2-1 1.0× +89.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 22% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R4 1661 Fuegoscuro86 Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R5 1568~ Farreli Win 33% 2-1 1.0× +74.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 33% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 150, true skill could span ±300).
R6 1425~ McLion34 Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1845 miguividal Loss 30% 0-2 0.82× -15.3 Top Cut
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