Evaughn at Planetary Qualifier Radcliff

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 0-4-0 Field 44
Rating after 1,257
-243
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,257 RD 196
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 800 vs field -783
Field strength Mean 1,583 · Median 1,522 · 44 rated 54th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 0-4 -243.5 1.0× +0.0 -243.5 1257
Total 0-4-0 -243.5 1257
Costliest loss Lost to JadenSkywalker32 1263 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +184 swing

Matches (4)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1645 blakeken Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -69.2 Swiss
R2 1685 julianharmon Loss 35% 1-2 1.0× -63.6 Swiss
R3 1263 JadenSkywalker32 Loss 69% 1-2 1.0× -126.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R4 1500~ Cody Murphy Loss 50% 0-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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