Ethan Arnett at Planetary Qualifier Cincinnati

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Planetary Limited April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-0 Field 43
Rating after 1,580
+65
Rating before 1,515 RD 130
Rating after 1,580 RD 117
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,831 vs field +250
Field strength Mean 1,581 · Median 1,500 · 43 rated 51st Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +65.3 1.0× +0.0 +65.3 1580
Total 4-2-0 +65.3 1580
Biggest upset Beat toddses 1695 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65
Costliest loss Lost to quinnyquacks 1662 at 38% odds / surprise -0.38 / +56 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1662 quinnyquacks Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -21.1 Swiss
R2 1695~ toddses Win 35% 2-1 1.0× +35.5 Swiss
R3 1359 Sonny Thompson Win 63% 2-0 1.0× +20.7 Swiss
R4 1669~ Tim Trummer Win 37% 2-1 1.0× +34.8 Swiss
R5 1783 McWithers Loss 29% 1-2 1.0× -16.1 Swiss
R6 1500~ pcrei09 Win 51% 2-0 1.0× +25.3 Swiss
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