Erik Eroth Kaleta at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 63

Rating after 1,834

-15

Rating before 1,849 RD 80

Rating after 1,834 RD 78

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,691

Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1849 → Swiss 1834 -15.2

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Beton 0

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 2

DrakonianLord 1

Harrison_Solo 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

siny 0

Cuendae 2

Semifinals

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

Cuendae 0

Finals

Gibki 2

Piotr Jabłoński 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -15.2 1.0× +0.0 -15.2 1834

Total 3-3-0 -15.2 1834

Biggest upset Beat Rafał Tarnowski 1794 at 55% odds / surprise +0.45

Costliest loss Lost to Marchewa 1709 at 62% odds / surprise -0.62 /

Matches (6)

R1 Bartosz_Sobota Win 2-1 1.0× +7.2 Swiss

R2 Rafał Tarnowski Win 2-0 1.0× +10.3 Swiss

R3 qb Win 2-0 1.0× +3.6 Swiss

R4 Cuendae Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 Harrison_Solo Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 58% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 125, true skill could span ±249).

R6 Marchewa Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.