Eric_DS at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 55

Rating after 1,765

-15

Rating before 1,780 RD 96

Rating after 1,765 RD 92

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,663

Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1780 → Swiss 1765 -14.9

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Mark Fichtel 0

CoolBowTiesAre 0

CannedIce 2

marshhhh 0

Gold630 2

vakarian 1

JElliot 2

Semifinals

Gungang_Istvan 2

CannedIce 0

Gold630 2

JElliot 0

Finals

Gungang_Istvan 2

Gold630 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -14.9 1.0× +0.0 -14.9 1765

Total 3-3-0 -14.9 1765

Biggest upset Beat jkfman101 1959 at 35% odds / surprise +0.65

Costliest loss Lost to BeccaWilliams 1405 at 77% odds / surprise -0.77 /

Matches (6)

R1 lukeBlevins Win 2-0 1.0× +8.6 Swiss

R2 JElliot Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 Kale Orrmons Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R4 jkfman101 Win 2-1 1.0× +20.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 35% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R5 BeccaWilliams Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 77% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 184, true skill could span ±367).

R6 Undefineddawn Win 2-1 1.0× +9.4 Swiss