Eneko_Lopez at Regional Championship Bilbao Limited

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Regional Limited October 10, 2025 Record 4-5-0 Field 446

Rating after 1,489

-11

Rating before 1,500 RD 250

Rating after 1,489 RD 160

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 1,491

Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,525 · 457 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1500 → Swiss 1489 -10.9

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Hiere 0

FilS 2

Cuendae 1

Wojciech Olszewski 2

Bandit01 2

miguelitto01 1

QCK_CharlyBacon 0

MikaelPL 2

Semifinals

Bandit01 2

Wojciech Olszewski 1

MikaelPL 2

FilS 1

Finals

MikaelPL 0

Bandit01 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 9 matches 4-5 -8.4 1.3× -2.5 -10.9 1489

Total 4-5-0 -10.9 1489

Biggest upset Beat TGB_Romaero 1612 at 41% odds / surprise +0.59

Costliest loss Lost to David_el_otro 1437 at 55% odds / surprise -0.55 /

Matches (9)

R1 jugando_cartones Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R2 sunnyd2293 Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R3 Lafuente Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss

R4 nirai_ Win 2-0 1.3× +110.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

R5 David_el_otro Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).

R6 JE14 Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

R7 TGB_Romaero Win 2-0 1.3× +137.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).

R8 David Rosenberg Win 2-0 1.3× +113.3 Swiss

R9 ProGamerGHG Win 2-0 1.3× +102.7 Swiss